中国循证儿科杂志 ›› 2021, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (2): 99-103.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-5501.2021.02.004

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于初潮时骨龄预测女童初潮后身高剩余生长潜力的横断面调查

武华红, 李阳, 郭佳运, 李辉   

  1. 首都儿科研究所生长发育研究室 北京,100020
  • 收稿日期:2021-03-23 修回日期:2021-04-13 出版日期:2021-04-25 发布日期:2021-06-04
  • 通讯作者: 李辉,email:huiligrowth@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    1 北京市医院管理中心儿科学科协同发展中心专项经费资助:XTZD20180403;2 中国医学科学院医学与健康科技创新工程项目:2016-I2M-1-008;3 北京市属医学科研院所公益发展改革试点项目:京医研2019-11

Prediction on residual growth potential of girls after menarche by bone age at menarche: A cross-sectional study

WU Huahong, LI Yang, GUO Jiayun, LI Hui   

  1. Department of Growth and Development, Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing 100020, China
  • Received:2021-03-23 Revised:2021-04-13 Online:2021-04-25 Published:2021-06-04
  • Contact: LI Hui, email: huiligrowth@163.com

摘要: 背景 初潮是女童进入青春发育后期的重要标志,也是身高干预的最后一个机会窗口期,且初潮受多种因素影响、个体差异很大。正确认识和掌握女童初潮后的生长规律和特点,可为临床实践中不同初潮年龄女童的终身高评估和干预决策的制定提供参考依据。目的 通过分析女童初潮时年龄、骨龄和体格发育特征,探讨初潮后预测终身高(PAH)的临床评估方法。设计 横断面调查。方法 回顾性收集2008至2018年于首都儿科研究所附属儿童医院(我院)生长发育门诊就诊、有女童月经初潮时间、体格测量数据、骨龄X片的病例。排除初潮时间与就诊时间间隔≥3个月的病例、病历诊断中有明确的影响儿童生长发育的疾病、病历诊断中有明确病因引起的继发性中枢性性早熟或外周性性早熟和既往使用过生长激素或促性腺激素释放激素抑制剂药物的病例。按事先定义的方法计算实际年龄、骨龄、身高的标准差分值(HtSDS)、PAH和预测生长潜力、骨龄HtSDS(HtSDSBA)和女童遗传身高,3名儿童保健科医生从纸质或电子病历中按照纳入和排除标准筛选病历、提取数据和判断,单人录入至Epidata数据库。以初潮年龄每1岁为段分组,以初潮时骨龄每0.5岁为段分组。主要结局指标 初潮骨龄、PAH和预测生长潜力。结果 ① 694例女童的初潮年龄8.5~13.2(10.7±1.1)岁,初潮时骨龄12.4~12.8(12.4±0.6)岁。②初潮年龄越小的女童,骨龄提前越多,HtSDS也越高。例如,8~岁组骨龄提前(3.8±0.5)岁,HtSDS为2.6±1.3;13~岁组骨龄落后(0.7±0.7)岁,HtSDS为-1.05±0.59。骨龄校正后不同初潮年龄组的平均HtSDSBA为-1.17~-0.68,组间差异较小。③初潮后的预测生长潜力为(7.3±2.6)cm,生长潜力仅与初潮时的骨龄高度负相关(r=-0.960,P<0.001),骨龄从11.0~岁组到13.0~岁组,平均生长潜力从12.7 cm降至4.0 cm(F=1 194.393,P<0.001)。④本研究获得PAH计算公式[0.868×身高(cm)-3.754×骨龄(岁)+73.677],拟合优度R2=0.992,据此计算预期达到不同终身高的女童初潮时身高应达到的临界值。例如,女童初潮时骨龄为12岁,PAH达到150 cm则初潮时身高应>139.8 cm,PAH达到160 cm初潮时身高应>151.3 cm。结论 女童初潮时骨龄相对稳定,骨龄是反映身体成熟度和预测月经来潮的可靠指标,也是预测初潮后生长潜力的关键指标。

关键词: 初潮, 骨龄, 身高, 生长潜力

Abstract: Background Menarche is an important sign for girls to enter the late stage of puberty, and it is also the last opportunity for girls' height intervention. As menarche is affected by many factors and has great individual differences, correcting understanding and mastering the growth pretention and characteristics of girls at menarche can provide reference for the final height evaluation and intervention of girls with different menarche age in clinical practice.Objective To analyze the age, bone age (BA) and physical development characteristics of girls at menarche to explore the clinical evaluation method of predicting final height (PAH) after menarche.DesignCross-sectional survey.Methods We retrospectively collected the data of girls with menarche time, physical measurement and X-ray of bone age who visited the Department of Growth and Development of Children's Hospital Affiliated to Capital Institute of Pediatrics from 2008 to 2018. We excluded the cases with the interval between menarche time and visit time longer than 3 months, with clear diseases affecting children's growth and development, with clear etiology causing secondary central precocious puberty or peripheral precocious puberty, and those previously treated by growth hormone or Gonadotropin-Releasing hormone inhibitors. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria above, three professional pediatricians screened medical records in paper or in electronic forms, extracted and chose data, and finally entered all selected data into Epidata database by a single person. The chronological age, bone age, HtSDS, HtSDSBA, predicted final height (PAH) and predicted growth potential were calculated according to the pre-defined methods. The menarche age was divided by interval of 1 year, and the BA at menarche was divided by interval of 0.5 year.Main outcome measures BA at menarche, PAH and predicted growth potential.Results a. MA of 694 girls was 10.7±1.1 years and BA at menarche was 12.4±0.6 years. The average MA of different groups varied from 8.5 to 13.2 years, but the BA at menarche was stable, ranging from 12.4 to 12.8 years. b. The BA at menarche was closely related to their growth level. The youngest MA group had the most advanced BA and highest HtSDS. For example, the BA of 8-year-old MA group was 3.8±0.5 years advanced and their HtSDS was 2.60±1.32 while the BA of 13-year-old MA group was 0.7±0.7 years behind, and their HtSDS was -1.05±0.59. However, the average HtSDSBA of different MA groups ranged from -1.17 to -0.68, with few differences between groups. c. The PAH-Ht of girls after menarche was 7.3±2.6 cm which was highly negatively correlated with BA at menarche (r=-0.960, P<0.001). The average PAH-Ht of girls decreased from 12.7 cm to 4.0 cm when the BA at menarche increased from 11.0 to 13.0 years (F=1,194.393, P<0.001). d. According to the formula of PAH we derived from this study (R2=0.992), we can calculate the cut-off point of height at menarche in accordance with different PAH. When the BA at menarche is 12 years, for example, the height at menarche should be higher than 139.8 cm with PAH higher than 150 cm, and the height at menarche should be higher than 151.3 cm with PAH higher than 160 cm.Conclusion The BA of girls at menarche is relatively stable. BA is a reliable index to predict menstruation and evaluate the growth level of girls. For girls after menarche, BA can also accurately predict their growth potential.

Key words: Menarche, Bone age, Height, Growth potential